Will Donald Trump say “Air Force One”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Air Force One” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Air Force One
- Probability
- 30% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…So I had it done. I'm in this beautiful this beautiful Air Force One and we have breaking news all the time every two minutes.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Air Force One |  Kalshi | No |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Air Force One | Kalshi | No |
| May 30, 2025 | Air Force One |  Polymarket | No |
| May 14, 2025 | Air Force One | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Air Force One”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Air Force One” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 14, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Air Force One” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Air Force One’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/air-force-one (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=air%20force%20one · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP