Will “VAR” be said on the next FIFA World Cup broadcast?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “VAR” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 37 of 50 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 25, 2026 (74%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=50, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 6 times
- Counts
- any official commentator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceFIFA World Cup
VAR
- Probability
- 67% · n=50
- Settled
- 37/50 (74%)
Next listing counts: any official commentator
We don’t have transcripts for FIFA World Cup yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 19, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 11, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 11, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 11, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 11, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 10, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 10, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 9, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 9, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 7, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 7, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 7, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 7, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 6, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 6, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 6, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 6, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 3, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 3, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 3, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 3, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 28, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | VAR | No | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | VAR | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | VAR | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “VAR” said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “VAR” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 37 of 50 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 25, 2026 (74%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “VAR” is said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts next time?
- 67%, from settlement history (n=50). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any official commentator.
Cite parrot.markets, “FIFA World Cup: ‘VAR’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/fifa-world-cup/words/var (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=var · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP