Will “Crossbar” be said on the next FIFA World Cup broadcast?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Crossbar” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 38 of 104 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 11, 2026 (37%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=104, from settlement history), not a forecast.

40%from settlement history only · n=104counts: any official commentator
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
any official commentator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FIFA World Cup

Crossbar

Probability
40% · n=104
Settled
38/104 (37%)

Next listing counts: any official commentator

We don’t have transcripts for FIFA World Cup yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will announcers say during the FIFA World Cup Final · settled no

Open the appearance

What will announcers say during France vs England · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during England vs Argentina · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during France vs Spain · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Norway vs England · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Switzerland · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Spain vs Belgium · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during France vs Morocco · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Colombia · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Egypt · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 19, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 19, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 18, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 18, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 15, 2026CrossbarPolymarketYes
Jul 15, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jul 14, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 11, 2026CrossbarPolymarketYes
Jul 11, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 11, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jul 11, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 10, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 10, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 9, 2026CrossbarPolymarketYes
Jul 9, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jul 7, 2026CrossbarPolymarketYes
Jul 7, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 7, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jul 7, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 6, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 6, 2026CrossbarPolymarketYes
Jul 6, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 6, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jul 5, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 5, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 5, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 5, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 4, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 4, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 4, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 4, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 3, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 3, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 3, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 3, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 3, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 3, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 2, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 2, 2026CrossbarPolymarketYes
Jul 2, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jul 2, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 2, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jul 2, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jul 1, 2026CrossbarPolymarketYes
Jul 1, 2026CrossbarPolymarketYes
Jul 1, 2026CrossbarPolymarketYes
Jul 1, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jul 1, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jul 1, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jun 30, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jun 30, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jun 30, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jun 29, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jun 29, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jun 29, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jun 28, 2026CrossbarPolymarketNo
Jun 28, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026CrossbarKalshiYes
Jun 27, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026CrossbarKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Crossbar” said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Crossbar” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 38 of 104 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 11, 2026 (37%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026.
What is the probability “Crossbar” is said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=104). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any official commentator.

Cite parrot.markets, “FIFA World Cup: ‘Crossbar’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/fifa-world-cup/words/crossbar (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=crossbar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP