Will Wes Moore say “Trump”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “Trump” at 6 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (86%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the 2 latest transcripts we have (3 episodes), it reached the market's count 1 time.

43%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=trump

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Wes Moore

Trump

Probability
43% · n=7
Settled
6/7 (86%)
Latest transcripts
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

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Counts: named speaker only

42 by speakers the rule does not count.

Sununu adother8:56In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Raphael Warnockother16:12In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

3 counted; 36 by speakers the rule does not count.

Wes Mooreguest16:03In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Wes Mooreguest16:17In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during CBS Mornings? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during his NAN Fireside Chat? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Sep 22, 2026TrumpKalshiYes3
May 19, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Apr 9, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Apr 7, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 19, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 12, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Wes Moore say “Trump”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “Trump” at 6 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (86%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability Wes Moore says “Trump” next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP