Will Wes Moore say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Wes Moore did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 episodes; Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

34%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Wes Moore

Shutdown / Shut Down

Probability
34% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)
Last 3 transcripts
said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during CBS Mornings? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during his NAN Fireside Chat? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 9, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo
Apr 7, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo
Feb 19, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo
Feb 16, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Wes Moore say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Wes Moore did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026.
What is the probability Wes Moore says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP