Will Wes Moore say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Wes Moore said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 2 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026 (17%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 8 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Wes Moore
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 46% · n=12
- Settled
- 2/12 (17%)
- Last 3 episodes
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 10, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Wes Moore say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Wes Moore said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 2 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026 (17%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Wes Moore says “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP