Will Tom Homan say “Biden” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Biden” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 26, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tom Homan
Biden (3+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Jay Clayton on who won the 2020 election, and he said Joe Biden was certified as president. Is that sufficient for you? Do you intend…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…he'd met Friday with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. He pressed both Trump and Biden administrations to get tougher on Russia, stay close to Israel, and he…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | Biden (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Tom Homan say “Biden (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Biden” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Tom Homan says “Biden (3+ times)” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Biden (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/biden-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=biden%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP