Will “Congestion” be said at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Congestion” was not said at the Political debates on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- any candidate
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Congestion
- Probability
- 44% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: any candidate
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | Congestion |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Congestion | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Congestion | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Congestion | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Congestion” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Congestion” was not said at the Political debates on any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 4, 2025.
- What is the probability “Congestion” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any candidate.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Congestion’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/congestion (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=congestion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP