Will Pete Hegseth say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Trump” 3+ times at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (83%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Pete Hegseth
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 56% · n=6
- Settled
- 5/6 (83%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 29, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 12, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Pete Hegseth say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Trump” 3+ times at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (83%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP