Will Pete Hegseth say “Lethal”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Lethal” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 24, 2026 (80%), most recently on May 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
62%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Pete Hegseth
Lethal
- Probability
- 62% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Pete Hegseth say “Lethal”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Lethal” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 24, 2026 (80%), most recently on May 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “Lethal” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘Lethal’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/lethal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=lethal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP