Will Pete Hegseth say “Cuba / Cuban”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Pete Hegseth did not say “Cuba / Cuban” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
35%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Pete Hegseth
Cuba / Cuban
- Probability
- 35% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Cuba / Cuban |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Cuba / Cuban | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Pete Hegseth say “Cuba / Cuban”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Pete Hegseth did not say “Cuba / Cuban” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “Cuba / Cuban” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘Cuba / Cuban’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/cuba-or-cuban (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=cuba%20%2F%20cuban · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP