Mehmet Oz
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 94 word markets on Mehmet Oz’s appearances since 2026, on 32 different words; most reliably said: “Fraud” (7 of 7).
History Wall
1–34 of 34, most settled first| Word | Mar 26panel | Apr 3interview | Apr 16keynote | Apr 26episode | May 19episode | Jun 2briefing | Jun 27episode | Sep 10speech | Sep 29latest | Last 9 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraudevery time | Settled yes: Fraud, Mar 26 panel | Settled yes: Fraud, Apr 3 interview | Settled yes: Fraud, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Fraud, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Fraud, May 19 episode | Settled yes: Fraud, Jun 2 briefing | Settled yes: Fraud, Jun 27 episode | Settled yes: Fraud, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Fraud, Sep 29 keynote | 7/7100% | 7/7100% | 76%n=6 from settlement history |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 26 panel | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 3 interview | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 19 episode | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 2 briefing | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 27 episode | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 29 keynote | 6/786% | 6/786% | 70%n=6 from settlement history |
| Healthcare | Settled yes: Healthcare, Mar 26 panel | Settled yes: Healthcare, Apr 3 interview | Settled yes: Healthcare, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Healthcare, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, May 19 episode | Settled yes: Healthcare, Jun 2 briefing | Settled no: Healthcare, Jun 27 episode | Settled yes: Healthcare, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Healthcare, Sep 29 keynote | 6/786% | 6/786% | 76%n=6 from settlement history |
| California | Not listed: California, Mar 26 panel | Settled yes: California, Apr 3 interview | Settled yes: California, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: California, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: California, May 19 episode | Settled yes: California, Jun 2 briefing | Settled yes: California, Jun 27 episode | Settled no: California, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: California, Sep 29 keynote | 5/683% | 5/683% | 65%n=5 from settlement history |
| RFK / Bobby / Kennedy | Not listed: RFK / Bobby / Kennedy, Mar 26 panel | Settled yes: RFK / Bobby / Kennedy, Apr 3 interview | Settled no: RFK / Bobby / Kennedy, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: RFK / Bobby / Kennedy, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: RFK / Bobby / Kennedy, May 19 episode | Settled yes: RFK / Bobby / Kennedy, Jun 2 briefing | Settled no: RFK / Bobby / Kennedy, Jun 27 episode | Settled yes: RFK / Bobby / Kennedy, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: RFK / Bobby / Kennedy, Sep 29 keynote | 4/667% | 4/667% | 64%n=5 from settlement history |
| TrumpRX | Settled no: TrumpRX, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: TrumpRX, Apr 3 interview | Settled no: TrumpRX, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: TrumpRX, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: TrumpRX, May 19 episode | Settled yes: TrumpRX, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: TrumpRX, Jun 27 episode | Settled yes: TrumpRX, Sep 10 speech | Settled no: TrumpRX, Sep 29 keynote | 2/540% | 2/540% | 43%n=5 from settlement history |
| MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | Settled yes: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Apr 3 interview | Settled no: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, May 19 episode | Settled no: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Jun 2 briefing | Settled no: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Jun 27 episode | Settled no: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Sep 29 keynote | 1/520% | 1/520% | 38%n=4 from settlement history |
| Insurance | Not listed: Insurance, Mar 26 panel | Settled yes: Insurance, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Insurance, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Insurance, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Insurance, May 19 episode | Settled yes: Insurance, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Insurance, Jun 27 episode | Settled no: Insurance, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Insurance, Sep 29 keynote | 3/475% | 3/475% | 61%n=4 from settlement history |
| Chronicnever said | Not listed: Chronic, Mar 26 panel | Settled no: Chronic, Apr 3 interview | Settled no: Chronic, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Chronic, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Chronic, May 19 episode | Settled no: Chronic, Jun 2 briefing | Settled no: Chronic, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Chronic, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Chronic, Sep 29 keynote | 0/40% | 0/40% | 34%n=3 from settlement history |
| Daycare / Hospice | Not listed: Daycare / Hospice, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Daycare / Hospice, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Daycare / Hospice, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Daycare / Hospice, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Daycare / Hospice, May 19 episode | Settled yes: Daycare / Hospice, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Daycare / Hospice, Jun 27 episode | Settled yes: Daycare / Hospice, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Daycare / Hospice, Sep 29 keynote | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | 70%n=3 from settlement history |
| GLP-1 / Ozempic | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, May 19 episode | Settled yes: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Jun 27 episode | Settled yes: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Sep 29 keynote | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | 70%n=3 from settlement history |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Mar 26 panel | Settled yes: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, May 19 episode | Settled yes: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 2 briefing | Settled no: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Sep 29 keynote | 2/367% | 2/367% | 64%n=2 from settlement history |
| Autism / Autistic | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, May 19 episode | Settled yes: Autism / Autistic, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Jun 27 episode | Settled no: Autism / Autistic, Sep 10 speech | Settled no: Autism / Autistic, Sep 29 keynote | 1/333% | 1/333% | 41%n=3 from settlement history |
| Democrat | Not listed: Democrat, Mar 26 panel | Settled no: Democrat, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Democrat, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Democrat, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Democrat, May 19 episode | Settled no: Democrat, Jun 2 briefing | Settled yes: Democrat, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Democrat, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Democrat, Sep 29 keynote | 1/333% | 1/333% | 37%n=2 from settlement history |
| JD / Vance | Not listed: JD / Vance, Mar 26 panel | Settled no: JD / Vance, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: JD / Vance, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: JD / Vance, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, May 19 episode | Settled yes: JD / Vance, Jun 2 briefing | Settled no: JD / Vance, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: JD / Vance, Sep 29 keynote | 1/333% | 1/333% | 53%n=2 from settlement history |
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, Mar 26 panel | Settled no: Trump, Apr 3 interview | Settled no: Trump, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Trump, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Trump, May 19 episode | Not listed: Trump, Jun 2 briefing | Settled no: Trump, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Trump, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Trump, Sep 29 keynote | 0/30% | 0/30% | 38%n=2 from settlement history |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, May 19 episode | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Jun 27 episode | Settled yes: Medicare / Medicaid, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Medicare / Medicaid, Sep 29 keynote | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 67%n=2 from settlement history |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 26 panel | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, May 19 episode | Settled yes: Immigrant / Immigration, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 29 keynote | 1/250% | 1/250% | 53%n=2 from settlement history |
| Obese / Obesity | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Apr 3 interview | Settled no: Obese / Obesity, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, May 19 episode | Settled no: Obese / Obesity, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Sep 29 keynote | 0/20% | 0/20% | 37%n=2 from settlement history |
| Vaccine / Vaccination | Settled no: Vaccine / Vaccination, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Vaccine / Vaccination, Apr 3 interview | Settled no: Vaccine / Vaccination, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Vaccine / Vaccination, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Vaccine / Vaccination, May 19 episode | Not listed: Vaccine / Vaccination, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Vaccine / Vaccination, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Vaccine / Vaccination, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Vaccine / Vaccination, Sep 29 keynote | 0/20% | 0/20% | 38%n=2 from settlement history |
| RFK / Kennedy | Settled yes: RFK / Kennedy, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: RFK / Kennedy, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: RFK / Kennedy, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: RFK / Kennedy, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: RFK / Kennedy, May 19 episode | Not listed: RFK / Kennedy, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: RFK / Kennedy, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: RFK / Kennedy, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: RFK / Kennedy, Sep 29 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Rural | Not listed: Rural, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Rural, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Rural, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Rural, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Rural, May 19 episode | Not listed: Rural, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Rural, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Rural, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Rural, Sep 29 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Alzheimer / Alzheimer's | Not listed: Alzheimer / Alzheimer's, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Alzheimer / Alzheimer's, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Alzheimer / Alzheimer's, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Alzheimer / Alzheimer's, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Alzheimer / Alzheimer's, May 19 episode | Not listed: Alzheimer / Alzheimer's, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Alzheimer / Alzheimer's, Jun 27 episode | Settled no: Alzheimer / Alzheimer's, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Alzheimer / Alzheimer's, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Not listed: Bibi / Netanyahu, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Bibi / Netanyahu, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Bibi / Netanyahu, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Bibi / Netanyahu, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Bibi / Netanyahu, May 19 episode | Settled no: Bibi / Netanyahu, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Bibi / Netanyahu, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Bibi / Netanyahu, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Bibi / Netanyahu, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ceasefire | Not listed: Ceasefire, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Ceasefire, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Ceasefire, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Ceasefire, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, May 19 episode | Settled no: Ceasefire, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Ceasefire, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| China / Chinese | Not listed: China / Chinese, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: China / Chinese, Apr 3 interview | Settled no: China / Chinese, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: China / Chinese, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, May 19 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: China / Chinese, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Chronic / Disease | Settled no: Chronic / Disease, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Chronic / Disease, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Chronic / Disease, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Chronic / Disease, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Chronic / Disease, May 19 episode | Not listed: Chronic / Disease, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Chronic / Disease, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Chronic / Disease, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Chronic / Disease, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, May 19 episode | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Israel / Israeli | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, May 19 episode | Settled no: Israel / Israeli, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Mental Health | Not listed: Mental Health, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Mental Health, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Mental Health, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Mental Health, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Mental Health, May 19 episode | Settled no: Mental Health, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Mental Health, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Mental Health, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Mental Health, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff | Not listed: Tariff, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Tariff, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Tariff, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Tariff, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Tariff, May 19 episode | Settled no: Tariff, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Tariff, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Tariff, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Transgender | Settled no: Transgender, Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Transgender, Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Transgender, Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Transgender, Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Transgender, May 19 episode | Not listed: Transgender, Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Transgender, Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Transgender, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Transgender, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump3+ times | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), May 19 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump5+ times | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Mar 26 panel | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Apr 3 interview | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Apr 16 keynote | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Apr 26 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), May 19 episode | Settled no: Trump (5+ times), Jun 2 briefing | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 27 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 9Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will Dr. Oz say during the MAHA Summit? | no transcript | 13 | 10 yes · 3 no | – |
| Sep 10, 2026 | SpeechWhat will Dr. Oz say during RNC Midterm Convention? | no transcript | 14 | 8 yes · 6 no | – |
| Jun 27, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Dr. Oz say during Fox News: Saturday in America? | no transcript | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Press briefingWhat will Dr. Oz say during his White House Press Briefing? | no transcript | 25 | 13 yes · 12 no | – |
| May 19, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Dr. Oz say during Fox News: Hannity? | no transcript | 13 | 1 yes · 12 no | – |
| Apr 26, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? | Official transcript | 12 | 1 yes · 11 no | – |
| Apr 16, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will Dr. Oz say during Semafor World Economy 2026? | no transcript | 13 | 4 yes · 9 no | – |
| Apr 3, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Dr. Oz say during Fox News: Special Report? | no transcript | 13 | 6 yes · 7 no | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | PanelWhat will Dr. Oz say during his CPAC discussion? | no transcript | 11 | 5 yes · 6 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Mehmet Oz: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mehmet-oz (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/mehmet-oz · words: /api/v1/history?entity=mehmet-oz · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP