Mehmet Oz: Interview, Apr 3, 2026

Fri, Apr 3InterviewHistory onlyMehmet Oz

Updated

Markets

12 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Fraud Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Healthcare Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
RFK / Bobby / Kennedy Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
California Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Insurance Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Minnesota / Minneapolis Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Democrat No–new new word, no probability yet–
Immigrant / Immigration No–new new word, no probability yet–
JD / Vance No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–
Chronic No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP