Will Mehmet Oz say “JD / Vance”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Mehmet Oz said “JD / Vance” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 3, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jun 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 press briefing, 1 episode; Apr 26, 2026 – Jun 2, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mehmet Oz
JD / Vance
- Probability
- 53% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing, 1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…can tell all kinds of stories about Marco's entertaining commentary. I think JD was spectacular, he's just very on his game, understands the issues, and…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | JD / Vance |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 2, 2026 | JD / Vance | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 19, 2026 | JD / Vance | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Apr 26, 2026 | JD / Vance | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Apr 3, 2026 | JD / Vance | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Mehmet Oz say “JD / Vance”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Mehmet Oz said “JD / Vance” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 3, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jun 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Mehmet Oz says “JD / Vance” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mehmet Oz: ‘JD / Vance’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mehmet-oz/words/jd-or-vance (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mehmet-oz&word=jd%20%2F%20vance · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mehmet-oz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP