Mehmet Oz: Keynote, Sep 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Dr. Oz say during the MAHA Summit?
Markets
12 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fraud | Yes | 69%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 69%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 62%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Daycare / Hospice | Yes | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| GLP-1 / Ozempic | Yes | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| California | Yes | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| RFK / Bobby / Kennedy | Yes | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Insurance | Yes | 49%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Rural | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TrumpRX | No | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Autism / Autistic | No | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXDROZMENTION-26SEP29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP