Mehmet Oz: Keynote, Sep 29, 2026

Tue, Sep 29KeynoteHistory onlyMehmet Oz

Updated

Markets

12 words · 10 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Fraud Yes69%n=5 from settlement history–
Healthcare Yes69%n=5 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes62%n=5 from settlement history–
Daycare / Hospice Yes60%n=2 from settlement history–
GLP-1 / Ozempic Yes60%n=2 from settlement history–
California Yes55%n=4 from settlement history–
RFK / Bobby / Kennedy Yes55%n=4 from settlement history–
Medicare / Medicaid Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Insurance Yes49%n=3 from settlement history–
Rural Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
TrumpRX No48%n=4 from settlement history–
Autism / Autistic No45%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXDROZMENTION-26SEP29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP