Will Mehmet Oz say “Fraud”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Mehmet Oz said “Fraud” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 76% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 press briefing, 1 episode; Apr 26, 2026 – Jun 2, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

76%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 7 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mehmet Oz

Fraud

Probability
76% · n=7
Settled
7/7 (100%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing, 1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Mehmet OzspeakerCMS Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz Briefs Members of the Media, Jun. 2, 2026 · Jun 2, 2026 · 4:55In transcript

…mentioned earlier. I also want to touch briefly on the crushing of fraud, waste, and abuse made possible by the vice president's anti-fraud task force.…

What will Dr. Oz say during the MAHA Summit? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Dr. Oz say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Dr. Oz say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Dr. Oz say during his White House Press Briefing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Dr. Oz say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Dr. Oz say during Semafor World Economy 2026? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Dr. Oz say during Fox News: Special Report? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Dr. Oz say during his CPAC discussion? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 29, 2026FraudKalshiYes
Sep 10, 2026FraudKalshiYes
Jun 27, 2026FraudKalshiYes
Jun 2, 2026FraudKalshiYes
May 19, 2026FraudKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Apr 26, 2026FraudKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Apr 16, 2026FraudKalshiYes
Apr 3, 2026FraudKalshiYes
Mar 26, 2026FraudKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Mehmet Oz say “Fraud”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Mehmet Oz said “Fraud” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
What is the probability Mehmet Oz says “Fraud” next time?
76%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mehmet Oz: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mehmet-oz/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mehmet-oz&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mehmet-oz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP