Mehmet Oz: Speech, Sep 10, 2026
Kalshi What will Dr. Oz say during RNC Midterm Convention?
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fraud | Yes | 66%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 66%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Daycare / Hospice | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| GLP-1 / Ozempic | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| RFK / Bobby / Kennedy | Yes | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TrumpRX | Yes | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| California | No | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Insurance | No | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Autism / Autistic | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alzheimer / Alzheimer's | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | No | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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