Will Mehmet Oz say “California”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Mehmet Oz said “California” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 3, 2026 (83%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 press briefing, 1 episode; Apr 26, 2026 – Jun 2, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

65%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=mehmet-oz&word=california

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mehmet Oz

California

Probability
65% · n=6
Settled
5/6 (83%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing, 1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Mehmet OzspeakerCMS Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz Briefs Members of the Media, Jun. 2, 2026 · Jun 2, 2026 · 7:27In transcript

…waiting to hear feedback from them. Other states have also been problematic, California comes to mind, where we've made several trips of late. One-third of…

ED O'KEEFEotherFace the Nation (CBS), April 26, 2026 · Apr 26, 2026In transcript

…room. Surveillance footage shows the suspect, 31-year-old Cole Tomas Allen, of Torrance, California, raced by magnetometers just a staircase above the ballroom. He was quickly…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Dr. Oz say during the MAHA Summit? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Dr. Oz say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled no

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What will Dr. Oz say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Dr. Oz say during his White House Press Briefing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Dr. Oz say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during Semafor World Economy 2026? · settled yes

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What will Dr. Oz say during Fox News: Special Report? · settled yes

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What will Dr. Oz say during his CPAC discussion? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 29, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes
Sep 10, 2026CaliforniaKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes
Jun 2, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes
May 19, 2026CaliforniaKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Apr 16, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes
Apr 3, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Mehmet Oz say “California”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Mehmet Oz said “California” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 3, 2026 (83%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
What is the probability Mehmet Oz says “California” next time?
65%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mehmet Oz: ‘California’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mehmet-oz/words/california (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mehmet-oz&word=california · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mehmet-oz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP