Mehmet Oz: Press briefing, Jun 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Dr. Oz say during his White House Press Briefing?
Markets
24 words · 13 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fraud | Yes | 64%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 64%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| California | Yes | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Insurance | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| RFK / Bobby / Kennedy | Yes | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Autism / Autistic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Daycare / Hospice | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GLP-1 / Ozempic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| JD / Vance | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| TrumpRX | Yes | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | No | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mental Health | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Obese / Obesity | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Chronic | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXDROZMENTION-26JUN02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP