Mehmet Oz: Press briefing, Jun 2, 2026

Tue, Jun 2Press briefingHistory onlyMehmet Oz

Updated

Markets

24 words · 13 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Fraud Yes64%n=3 from settlement history–
Healthcare Yes64%n=3 from settlement history–
California Yes59%n=2 from settlement history–
Insurance Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Minnesota / Minneapolis Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes52%n=3 from settlement history–
RFK / Bobby / Kennedy Yes45%n=2 from settlement history–
Autism / Autistic Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Daycare / Hospice Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
GLP-1 / Ozempic Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Immigrant / Immigration Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
JD / Vance Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
TrumpRX Yes32%n=2 from settlement history–
MAHA / Make America Healthy Again No45%n=2 from settlement history–
Bibi / Netanyahu No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ceasefire No–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran / Iranian No–new new word, no probability yet–
Israel / Israeli No–new new word, no probability yet–
Mental Health No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 5+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Democrat No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Obese / Obesity No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Chronic No32%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXDROZMENTION-26JUN02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP