Will Mehmet Oz say “Transgender”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mehmet Oz did not say “Transgender” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 26, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 press briefing, 1 episode; Apr 26, 2026 – Jun 2, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mehmet Oz
Transgender
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | Transgender |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Mehmet Oz say “Transgender”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mehmet Oz did not say “Transgender” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Mehmet Oz says “Transgender” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mehmet Oz: ‘Transgender’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mehmet-oz/words/transgender (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mehmet-oz&word=transgender · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mehmet-oz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP