Marco Rubio: Interview, Aug 1, 2026
Polymarket What will Marco Rubio say on Fox News: My View?
Markets
13 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear | Yes | 76%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 69%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Meme | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela / Maduro | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 27%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 76%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 63%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 58%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 57%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 57%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| JD / Vance | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 26%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-marco-rubio-say-on-fox-news-my-view-20260731183534164 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP