Marco Rubio: Hearing, Jan 29, 2026

Thu, Jan 29HearingHistory onlyMarco Rubio

Updated

Markets

17 words · 12 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Biden Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
China Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Colombia Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Delcy Rodriguez Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Election Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Fentanyl Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Invest / Investment Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Machado Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Russia / Cuba Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Shadow Fleet Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Terrorist / Terrorism Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
America First No–new new word, no probability yet–
Amnesty No–new new word, no probability yet–
Democrat No–new new word, no probability yet–
Discombobulator No–new new word, no probability yet–
Hegseth No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXRUBIOMENTION-26JAN29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP