Marco Rubio: Interview, May 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: Hannity?
Markets
13 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuba / Cuban | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NATO | Yes | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| DJ / DJing | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| JD / Vance | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democrat | No | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXRUBIOMENTION-26MAY13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP