Marco Rubio: Interview, Sep 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: Hannity?
Markets
15 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 71%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 69%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 67%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | Yes | 64%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 60%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | Yes | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 39%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | No | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 39%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 30%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 19%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXRUBIOMENTION-26SEP28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP