Will Kathy Hochul say “Maduro / Venezuela”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul did not say “Maduro / Venezuela” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

41%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Maduro / Venezuela

Probability
41% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jan 21, 2026Maduro / VenezuelaKalshiNo
Jan 14, 2026Maduro / VenezuelaKalshiNo
Jan 9, 2026Maduro / VenezuelaKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Kathy Hochul say “Maduro / Venezuela”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul did not say “Maduro / Venezuela” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 9, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Maduro / Venezuela” next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Maduro / Venezuela’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/maduro-or-venezuela (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=maduro%20%2F%20venezuela · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP