Will Kathy Hochul say “Fraud / Scam”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Fraud / Scam” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Fraud / Scam
- Probability
- 60% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Fraud / Scam |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Fraud / Scam | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Fraud / Scam”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Fraud / Scam” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Fraud / Scam” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Fraud / Scam’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/fraud-or-scam (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=fraud%20%2F%20scam · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP