Will Kamala Harris say “National Guard”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kamala Harris did not say “National Guard” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kamala Harris
National Guard
- Probability
- 24% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kamala Harris yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | National Guard |  Kalshi | No |
| Dec 13, 2025 | National Guard | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 22, 2025 | National Guard | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kamala Harris say “National Guard”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kamala Harris did not say “National Guard” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Kamala Harris says “National Guard” next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kamala Harris: ‘National Guard’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kamala-harris/words/national-guard (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kamala-harris&word=national%20guard · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kamala-harris&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP