Will Kamala Harris say “California”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kamala Harris said “California” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025 (80%), most recently on Apr 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kamala Harris
California
- Probability
- 53% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kamala Harris yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | California |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 18, 2025 | California | Kalshi | No |
| Dec 13, 2025 | California | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 22, 2025 | California | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 31, 2025 | California |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kamala Harris say “California”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kamala Harris said “California” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025 (80%), most recently on Apr 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Kamala Harris says “California” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kamala Harris: ‘California’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kamala-harris/words/california (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kamala-harris&word=california · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kamala-harris&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP