Will Kamala Harris say “Biden”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Kamala Harris said “Biden” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 6, 2024 (29%), most recently on Jul 31, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

28%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kamala Harris

Biden

Probability
28% · n=7
Settled
2/7 (29%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kamala Harris yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Kamala Harris say during her NAN Fireside Chat? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Kamala Harris say on Jimmy Kimmel? · settled no

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What will Kamala Harris say on Jimmy Kimmel Live! on December 17? · settled no

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What will Kamala Harris say during the DNC meeting? · settled no

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What will Kamala Harris say during the Rachel Maddow Show? · settled no

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What will Kamala Harris say during the The Late Show With Stephen Colbert? · settled yes

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What will Kamala say in concession speech? · settled yes

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What will Kamala say during DC rally today? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during Fox interview? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kamala say during Univision town hall? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 10, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Dec 18, 2025BidenKalshiNo
Dec 17, 2025BidenPolymarketNo
Dec 13, 2025BidenKalshiNo
Sep 22, 2025BidenKalshiNo
Jul 31, 2025BidenPolymarketYes
Jul 31, 2025BidenKalshiYes
Nov 6, 2024BidenPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Kamala Harris say “Biden”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Kamala Harris said “Biden” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 6, 2024 (29%), most recently on Jul 31, 2025.
What is the probability Kamala Harris says “Biden” next time?
28%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kamala Harris: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kamala-harris/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kamala-harris&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kamala-harris&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP