Will Joe Biden say “Malarkey”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Malarkey” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (14%), most recently on Jun 27, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
28%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Joe Biden
Malarkey
- Probability
- 28% · n=7
- Settled
- 1/7 (14%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Malarkey”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Malarkey” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (14%), most recently on Jun 27, 2024.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Malarkey” next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Malarkey’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/malarkey (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=malarkey · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP