Will Joe Biden say “Kamala Harris”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Joe Biden said “Kamala Harris” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 11, 2024 (100%), most recently on Jan 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
- Probability
- 43% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | Kamala Harris |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Kamala Harris | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 11, 2024 | Kamala Harris | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Kamala Harris”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Joe Biden said “Kamala Harris” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 11, 2024 (100%), most recently on Jan 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Kamala Harris” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Kamala Harris’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/kamala-harris (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=kamala%20harris · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP