Will Joe Biden say “Hunter”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Hunter” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2024 (20%), most recently on Aug 19, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
31%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Joe Biden
Hunter
- Probability
- 31% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Hunter”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Hunter” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2024 (20%), most recently on Aug 19, 2024.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Hunter” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Hunter’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/hunter (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=hunter · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP