Will Joe Biden say “Kamala / Harris”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Joe Biden said “Kamala / Harris” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2024 (20%), most recently on May 8, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Joe Biden
Kamala / Harris
- Probability
- 29% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Kamala / Harris |  Kalshi | No |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Kamala / Harris |  Polymarket | No |
| May 8, 2025 | Kamala / Harris | Polymarket | Yes |
| May 8, 2025 | Kamala / Harris | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Kamala / Harris | Kalshi | No |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Kamala/Harris | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Kamala / Harris”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Joe Biden said “Kamala / Harris” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2024 (20%), most recently on May 8, 2025.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Kamala / Harris” next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Kamala / Harris’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/harris-or-kamala (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=harris%20%2F%20kamala · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP