Will Joe Biden say “Folks” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Folks” 3+ times at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (25%), most recently on Aug 19, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Joe Biden
Folks 3+ times
- Probability
- 32% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | Folks 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Folks 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Folks 3+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Folks 3+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Folks 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Folks” 3+ times at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (25%), most recently on Aug 19, 2024.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Folks 3+ times” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Folks 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/folk-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=folk%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP