Will Joe Biden say “Convicted felon”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Joe Biden said “Convicted felon” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (67%), most recently on Aug 19, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Joe Biden
Convicted felon
- Probability
- 38% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2024 | Convicted felon |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Convicted Felon | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Convicted Felon | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Convicted felon”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Joe Biden said “Convicted felon” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (67%), most recently on Aug 19, 2024.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Convicted felon” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Convicted felon’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/convicted-felon (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=convicted%20felon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP