Will Hakeem Jeffries say “Epstein”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Epstein” at 2 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 27, 2025 (15%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Feb 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceHakeem Jeffries
Epstein
- Probability
- 47% · n=13
- Settled
- 2/13 (15%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Jeffries where negotiations stand. Then: The fallout from the release of the Epstein files grows, as Attorney General Pam Bondi is grilled on Capitol Hill…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Epstein | No | – | |
| May 21, 2026 | Epstein | No | – | |
| May 19, 2026 | Epstein | Yes | – | |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Epstein | No | – | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Epstein | No | – | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Epstein | No | – | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Epstein | No | – | |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Epstein | No | – | |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Epstein | Yes | – | |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Epstein | No | – | |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Epstein | No | 0 | |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Epstein | No | – | |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Epstein | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Hakeem Jeffries say “Epstein”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Epstein” at 2 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 27, 2025 (15%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Hakeem Jeffries says “Epstein” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Hakeem Jeffries: ‘Epstein’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hakeem-jeffries/words/epstein (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=epstein · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP