Will Hakeem Jeffries say “Election”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Election” at 10 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 15, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Feb 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

62%from settlement history only · n=15counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=election

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Hakeem Jeffries

Election

Probability
62% · n=15
Settled
10/15 (67%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Hakeem JeffriesguestFace the Nation (CBS), February 15, 2026 · Feb 15, 2026In transcript

Well, if the election were held today, we're taking back control of the House of Representatives, and I'm not convinced that it would necessarily be…

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during All in with Chris Hayes? · settled yes

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled yes

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during his NAN remarks? · settled yes

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during his MS NOW interview? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 15 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 16, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Jul 20, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Jun 14, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Jun 10, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
May 21, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
May 19, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Apr 26, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Apr 9, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Mar 19, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Mar 10, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Mar 9, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Feb 24, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Feb 20, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Feb 16, 2026ElectionKalshiYes1
Feb 15, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Hakeem Jeffries say “Election”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Election” at 10 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 15, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026.
What is the probability Hakeem Jeffries says “Election” next time?
62%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Hakeem Jeffries: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hakeem-jeffries/words/election (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP