Will Cory Booker say “Election”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Cory Booker said “Election” at 10 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (71%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 15, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 8 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceCory Booker
Election
- Probability
- 46% · n=14
- Settled
- 10/14 (71%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 4 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
4 counted; 16 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 7 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Election | Yes | 4 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Election | Yes | 2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Election | Yes | 1 | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Election | Yes | – | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Election | Yes | – | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Election | Yes | – | |
| May 28, 2026 | Election | Yes | – | |
| May 26, 2026 | Election | Yes | – | |
| May 20, 2026 | Election | No | – | |
| May 14, 2026 | Election | Yes | – | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Election | Yes | – | |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Election | No | – | |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Election | No | – | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Election | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Cory Booker say “Election”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Cory Booker said “Election” at 10 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (71%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Cory Booker says “Election” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Cory Booker: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/cory-booker/words/election (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=cory-booker&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=cory-booker&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP