Cory Booker: Speech, Jun 26, 2026

Fri, Jun 26SpeechHistory onlyCory Booker

Updated

Markets

12 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Republican Yes52%n=3 from settlement history–
Democracy Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Healthcare Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Corrupt / Corruption Yes41%n=3 from settlement history–
Election Yes32%n=2 from settlement history–
Trump No61%n=3 from settlement history–
Iran / Iranian No57%n=2 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No57%n=2 from settlement history–
Billionaire No–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE No41%n=3 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No29%n=3 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUN26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP