Cory Booker: Interview, Mar 24, 2026

Tue, Mar 24InterviewHistory onlyCory Booker

Updated

Markets

11 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Trump Yes59%n=2 from settlement history–
Iran Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Republican Yes42%n=2 from settlement history–
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE / TSA Yes26%n=2 from settlement history–
Corrupt / Corruption Yes24%n=2 from settlement history–
LaGuardia No–new new word, no probability yet–
Election No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Shutdown / Shut Down No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No24%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP