Andy Beshear
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 72 word markets on Andy Beshear’s appearances since 2025, on 35 different words; most reliably said: “Healthcare” (6 of 6).
History Wall
1–35 of 35, most settled first| Word | Dec 10 ’25episode | Feb 10 ’26interview | Apr 11panel | Apr 15remarks | Sep 21episode | Sep 22latest | Last 6 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Healthcareevery time | Settled yes: Healthcare, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Healthcare, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled yes: Healthcare, Apr 11 panel | Settled yes: Healthcare, Apr 15 remarks | 2 times: Healthcare, Sep 21 episode, counts as said | 1 time: Healthcare, Sep 22 episode, counts as said | 6/6100% | 6/6100% | 61%n=3 from settlement history |
| Trump | Settled yes: Trump, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled yes: Trump, Apr 11 panel | Settled no: Trump, Apr 15 remarks | 0 times: Trump, Sep 21 episode | 6 times: Trump, Sep 22 episode, counts as said | 4/667% | 4/667% | 47%n=3 from settlement history |
| Republicanevery time | Settled yes: Republican, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Republican, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled yes: Republican, Apr 11 panel | Settled yes: Republican, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Republican, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Republican, Sep 22 episode | 4/4100% | 4/4100% | 61%n=3 from settlement history |
| 2028 / Campaign | Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Settled yes: 2028 / Campaign, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled yes: 2028 / Campaign, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Apr 15 remarks | 0 times: 2028 / Campaign, Sep 21 episode | 0 times: 2028 / Campaign, Sep 22 episode | 2/450% | 2/450% | 62%n=2 from settlement history |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 11 panel | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 15 remarks | 1 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 21 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 22 episode | 2/450% | 2/450% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| Tariff | Not listed: Tariff, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled no: Tariff, Apr 11 panel | Settled no: Tariff, Apr 15 remarks | 1 time: Tariff, Sep 21 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Tariff, Sep 22 episode | 1/425% | 1/425% | 32%n=2 from settlement history |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 15 remarks | 1 time: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 21 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 22 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 15 remarks | 0 times: Iran / Iranian, Sep 21 episode | 0 times: Iran / Iranian, Sep 22 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 11 panel | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 15 remarks | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 21 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 22 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Billionaire | Not listed: Billionaire, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Billionaire, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled no: Billionaire, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Billionaire, Apr 15 remarks | 0 times: Billionaire, Sep 21 episode | 0 times: Billionaire, Sep 22 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Apr 15 remarks | 0 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 21 episode | 0 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 22 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Job / Employment / Unemployment | Not listed: Job / Employment / Unemployment, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Job / Employment / Unemployment, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Job / Employment / Unemployment, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Job / Employment / Unemployment, Apr 15 remarks | 6 times: Job / Employment / Unemployment, Sep 21 episode, counts as said | 3 times: Job / Employment / Unemployment, Sep 22 episode, counts as said | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Settled yes: Affordable / Affordability, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Settled no: Affordable / Affordability, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Sep 22 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Democracy | Not listed: Democracy, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled yes: Democracy, Apr 11 panel | Settled no: Democracy, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Democracy, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Sep 22 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| Inflation / Inflationary | Not listed: Inflation / Inflationary, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Inflation / Inflationary, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Inflation / Inflationary, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Inflation / Inflationary, Apr 15 remarks | 0 times: Inflation / Inflationary, Sep 21 episode | 0 times: Inflation / Inflationary, Sep 22 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Vice President / VP | Settled no: Vice President / VP, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Settled no: Vice President / VP, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Vice President / VP, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Vice President / VP, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Vice President / VP, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Vice President / VP, Sep 22 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Derby | Not listed: Derby, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Derby, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Derby, Apr 11 panel | Settled yes: Derby, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Derby, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Derby, Sep 22 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Election, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Election, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Election, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Election, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Election, Sep 22 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE / National Guard | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Settled yes: ICE / National Guard, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 22 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE / TSA | Not listed: ICE / TSA, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: ICE / TSA, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled yes: ICE / TSA, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: ICE / TSA, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: ICE / TSA, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: ICE / TSA, Sep 22 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| McConnell | Not listed: McConnell, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: McConnell, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: McConnell, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: McConnell, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: McConnell, Sep 21 episode | 3 times: McConnell, Sep 22 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| 2028 | Settled no: 2028, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: 2028, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: 2028, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: 2028, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: 2028, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: 2028, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Autism / Autistic | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Apr 11 panel | Settled no: Autism / Autistic, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Employment / Unemployment | Not listed: Employment / Unemployment, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Settled no: Employment / Unemployment, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Employment / Unemployment, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Employment / Unemployment, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Employment / Unemployment, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Employment / Unemployment, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Apr 15 remarks | 0 times: SNAP / Food Stamp, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Iran | Not listed: Iran, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Iran, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Iran, Apr 11 panel | Settled no: Iran, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Iran, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Iran, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Mental Health | Not listed: Mental Health, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Mental Health, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Mental Health, Apr 11 panel | Settled no: Mental Health, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Mental Health, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Mitch McConnell | Settled no: Mitch McConnell, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Mitch McConnell, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Mitch McConnell, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Mitch McConnell, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Mitch McConnell, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Mitch McConnell, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Paducah | Not listed: Paducah, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Paducah, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Paducah, Apr 11 panel | Settled no: Paducah, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Paducah, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Paducah, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Red State | Settled no: Red State, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Red State, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Red State, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Red State, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Red State, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Red State, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Retirement | Settled no: Retirement, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Retirement, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Retirement, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Retirement, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Retirement, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Retirement, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| SAVE Act / SAVE America | Not listed: SAVE Act / SAVE America, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: SAVE Act / SAVE America, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Settled no: SAVE Act / SAVE America, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: SAVE Act / SAVE America, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: SAVE Act / SAVE America, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: SAVE Act / SAVE America, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Senate | Settled no: Senate, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Senate, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Senate, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Senate, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Senate, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Senate, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Toyota | Not listed: Toyota, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Not listed: Toyota, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Toyota, Apr 11 panel | Settled no: Toyota, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Toyota, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Toyota, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tyler Childers | Not listed: Tyler Childers, Dec 10 ’25 episode | Settled no: Tyler Childers, Feb 10 ’26 interview | Not listed: Tyler Childers, Apr 11 panel | Not listed: Tyler Childers, Apr 15 remarks | Not listed: Tyler Childers, Sep 21 episode | Not listed: Tyler Childers, Sep 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 6Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Andy Beshear say during The Weeknight? | Captions · machine-attributed | 14 | 4 yes · 10 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Sep 21, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Andy Beshear say during All In with Chris Hayes? | Captions · machine-attributed | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Apr 15, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Andy Beshear say during the next Team Kentucky Update? | no transcript | 13 | 3 yes · 10 no | – |
| Apr 11, 2026 | PanelWhat will Andy Beshear say during his NAN Fireside Chat? | no transcript | 14 | 9 yes · 5 no | – |
| Feb 10, 2026 | InterviewMention: Andy Beshear's MSNBC Interview | no transcript | 10 | 6 yes · 4 no | – |
| Dec 10, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Andy Beshear say during The Briefing With Jen Psaki? | no transcript | 10 | 4 yes · 6 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Andy Beshear: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/andy-beshear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/andy-beshear · words: /api/v1/history?entity=andy-beshear · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP