Will Andy Beshear say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Andy Beshear said “Tariff” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Andy Beshear
Tariff
- Probability
- 32% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Andy Beshear say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Andy Beshear said “Tariff” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Andy Beshear says “Tariff” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Beshear: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/andy-beshear/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-beshear&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-beshear&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP