Will Andy Beshear say “2028 / Campaign”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Andy Beshear said “2028 / Campaign” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

62%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=andy-beshear&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Andy Beshear

2028 / Campaign

Probability
62% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Andy Beshear say during The Weeknight? · not said

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What will Andy Beshear say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not said

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What will Andy Beshear say during the next Team Kentucky Update? · not listed

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What will Andy Beshear say during his NAN Fireside Chat? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Mention: Andy Beshear's MSNBC Interview · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Andy Beshear say during The Briefing With Jen Psaki? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 22, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo0
Sep 21, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo0
Apr 11, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiYes–
Feb 10, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Andy Beshear say “2028 / Campaign”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Andy Beshear said “2028 / Campaign” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 11, 2026.
What is the probability Andy Beshear says “2028 / Campaign” next time?
62%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Beshear: ‘2028 / Campaign’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/andy-beshear/words/2028-or-campaign (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-beshear&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-beshear&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP