Will Andy Beshear say “Billionaire”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Andy Beshear did not say “Billionaire” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Andy Beshear
Billionaire
- Probability
- 42% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Billionaire |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Billionaire | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Billionaire | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Andy Beshear say “Billionaire”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Andy Beshear did not say “Billionaire” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Andy Beshear says “Billionaire” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Beshear: ‘Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/andy-beshear/words/billionaire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-beshear&word=billionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-beshear&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP