Will Andy Beshear say “Republican”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Beshear said “Republican” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Sep 21, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Andy Beshear
Republican
- Probability
- 61% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Andy Beshear say “Republican”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Beshear said “Republican” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Andy Beshear says “Republican” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Beshear: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/andy-beshear/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-beshear&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-beshear&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP