Andy Beshear: Interview, Feb 10, 2026

Tue, Feb 10InterviewHistory onlyAndy Beshear

Updated

Markets

10 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
2028 / Campaign Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Election Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Healthcare Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE / National Guard Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Republican Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Affordable / Affordability No–new new word, no probability yet–
Employment / Unemployment No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tyler Childers No–new new word, no probability yet–
Vice President / VP No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26FEB10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP