Will Andy Beshear say “Derby”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Beshear said “Derby” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Sep 21, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Andy Beshear
Derby
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Derby |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Andy Beshear say “Derby”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Beshear said “Derby” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Andy Beshear says “Derby” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Beshear: ‘Derby’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/andy-beshear/words/derby (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-beshear&word=derby · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-beshear&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP