Will Andy Beshear say “Democracy”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Beshear said “Democracy” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Sep 21, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Andy Beshear
Democracy
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Andy Beshear say “Democracy”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Beshear said “Democracy” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Andy Beshear says “Democracy” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Beshear: ‘Democracy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/andy-beshear/words/democracy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-beshear&word=democracy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-beshear&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP