Will “Microsoft” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Microsoft” was said on All-In Podcast in 6 of 10 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 16, 2026 (60%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Microsoft
- Probability
- 56% · n=10
- Settled
- 6/10 (60%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
11 counted.
Let's use Microsoft. You brought them up before, right? And Microsoft comes to us and says, we'd like to buy some Confidium. And we say,…
…the box. Yeah. Right. And what I do with the box is I take my contract with Microsoft and I put it in the box.
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
…want me to play the clip or you want to just... Yeah, play the clip from Mustafa Sullyman. He's the It's the Microsoft AI CEO.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Microsoft |  Polymarket | Yes | 11 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Microsoft | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Microsoft | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Microsoft | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Microsoft | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| May 15, 2026 | Microsoft | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Microsoft | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Microsoft | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Microsoft | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Microsoft | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Microsoft” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Microsoft” was said on All-In Podcast in 6 of 10 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 16, 2026 (60%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Microsoft” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Microsoft’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/microsoft (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=microsoft · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP