All-In Podcast: Episode, Jan 23, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (January 23)
Markets
15 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Data Center | Yes | 73%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Audit | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Microsoft | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Davos | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greenland | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| MAGA | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Denmark | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sanders | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Too late | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Switzerland | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zelenskyy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disgraziad | No | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Disgraceful | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Independence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-january-23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP